how big was gore's lead on bush during october polls?

radbag · Post by **radbag** » Thu Oct 30, 2008 12:49 pm

was it 11? that seems insurmountable.

a1bion · Post by **a1bion** » Thu Oct 30, 2008 12:53 pm

I seem to recall the speculation then being that Gore would win the electoral vote and lose the popular.

radbag · Post by **radbag** » Thu Oct 30, 2008 1:00 pm

i just watched the movie recount...kevin spacey's character ron klain scoffed at the mention that gore had had an 11 point lead in the october polls.

DocZaius · Post by **DocZaius** » Thu Oct 30, 2008 1:13 pm

I believe Kerry had a decent lead in October as well.

It ain't over 'til it's over, but I think the electoral maps are still in Obama's favor even if the popular vote gap is closing.

TTBHG · Post by **TTBHG** » Thu Oct 30, 2008 1:16 pm

If Obama wins Florida, North Carolina or Ohio then he will be the next President. I don't think there is any reasonable scenario that McCain could lose any of those three states and still get to 270.

a1bion · Post by **a1bion** » Thu Oct 30, 2008 3:14 pm

I can feel the comeback starting as we speak.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j1TT7gt5F0w

TTBHG · Post by **TTBHG** » Thu Oct 30, 2008 3:24 pm

LOL.

Um, he was here a second ago!

Toothy · Post by **Toothy** » Thu Oct 30, 2008 3:36 pm

Yes, but remember: the Democrats don't close well. I don't think there's anything settled yet.

It's gonna be a newsy weekend, I bet.

radbag · Post by **radbag** » Thu Oct 30, 2008 3:43 pm

obama's a lock.

book it.

IHateUGAlyDawgs · Post by **IHateUGAlyDawgs** » Thu Oct 30, 2008 3:53 pm

concur with rad.

TheTodd · Post by **TheTodd** » Thu Oct 30, 2008 6:27 pm

I'm surprised it's as close as it is with as crappy the W has been.

annarborgator · Post by **annarborgator** » Thu Oct 30, 2008 7:20 pm

I wonder how much insanity is going on behind the scenes these days. My bet is quite a damn bit. No doubt the Pubs did their best to force an October Surprise that couldn't be forced because of the economic collapse.

radbag · Post by **radbag** » Thu Oct 30, 2008 7:35 pm

not speaking specifically about either party...speaking about both if anything...i think that if there's something to be brought up, it best be brought up late....classic strategy...bring it up late so your opponent doesn't have the time or forum to refute it.

of course - obama doesn't need to resort to that because he is so way ahead...a tactic such as that could backfire and cost him votes....mccain's got to have something occur during the last few days in order for him to compete...i can see him utilizing such a strategy....gotta be sunday/monday.

IHateUGAlyDawgs · Post by **IHateUGAlyDawgs** » Thu Oct 30, 2008 7:36 pm

not speaking specifically about either party...speaking about both if anything...i think that if there's something to be brought up, it best be brought up late....classic strategy...bring it up late so your opponent doesn't have the time or forum to refute it.

of course - obama doesn't need to resort to that because he is so way ahead...a tactic such as that could backfire and cost him votes....mccain's got to have something occur during the last few days in order for him to compete...i can see him utilizing such a strategy....gotta be sunday/monday.

with early voting, though, it may already be too late.

radbag · Post by **radbag** » Thu Oct 30, 2008 7:41 pm

not speaking specifically about either party...speaking about both if anything...i think that if there's something to be brought up, it best be brought up late....classic strategy...bring it up late so your opponent doesn't have the time or forum to refute it.

of course - obama doesn't need to resort to that because he is so way ahead...a tactic such as that could backfire and cost him votes....mccain's got to have something occur during the last few days in order for him to compete...i can see him utilizing such a strategy....gotta be sunday/monday.
with early voting, though, it may already be too late.

do you think people utilize early vote if they've not made their mind up? maybe 100% of the voters have made their mind up already...dunno.

IHateUGAlyDawgs · Post by **IHateUGAlyDawgs** » Thu Oct 30, 2008 7:47 pm

the very few who have not made up their mind will not be a large enough population to change the outcome of this election.

wpfox16 · Post by **wpfox16** » Thu Oct 30, 2008 9:35 pm

I don't know what the hell you're talking about, Rad... Gore did not have an 11 point lead in October. At least not in any reputable polls.

Here's what I've found:

CNN/Time poll: Bush holds edge
(10-27-00)

Poll: Voters divided over whether Gore, Bush would better handle Mideast crisis
(10-16-00)

Poll: Presidential race a dead heat
(10-06-00)

CNN/Time Poll: Gore, Bush tied; 1 in 5 voters undecided
(9-08-00)

Poll: Gore trails Bush on eve of Democratic convention
(8-11-00)

radbag · Post by **radbag** » Thu Oct 30, 2008 9:41 pm

i didn't know...serious...i thought 11 was a bit much.

thanks for the research and effort.