SEC East Tiebreaking Scenarios
Posted: Tue Oct 30, 2007 2:20 pm
Yes, this is how I've occupied my time at work today...
Anyway...
All of this assumes UF wins its remaining two SEC game with Vandy and S.Carolina pushing both teams to at least 4 conference losses and out of the race.
UF will finish with a 5-3 record.
UGA stands at 4-2 currently with games against UK and Auburn.
UT stands at 3-2 currently with games against Arky, UK, and Vandy.
UK stands at 2-3 currently with games against Vandy, UGA, and UT.
In a two way tie between UF and UGA, UF loses out based on head-to-head.
In a two way tie with UF and either UK or UT, UF wins based on head-to-head.
In a three way (or more) tie here are the scenarios:
The combined head to head record between each of these teams is tied all the way around at 1-1. So move on to #3. UF's record in the division would be 5-1 (loss to UGA). UT's record would be 5-1 (loss to UF). UGA's record would be 4-2 (losses to UT and USC). This would eliminate UGA and leave us with UF and UT. UF wins in the head-to-head two team tiebreaker.
If UT and UGA both lose with UT's loss coming to UK (still assume UK loses another one - to Vandy for instance) the UF wins outright on the divisional record (5-1 to 4-2 to 4-2).
If UK wins out (assume UT and UGA both win their other games) then there is a four way tie: UF, UK, UGA, and UT at 5-3. In this scenario the head to head records are: UF 2-1, UK 2-1, UT 1-2, UGA 1-2. UT and UGA are eliminated and UF beats out UK in a two team head to head tiebreaker.
Essentially, UF owns all tie-breakers assuming we win out and UT and UGA both drop one.
For UK they have to win out and have UF drop one. UK would have the head to head over both UT and UGA in this scenario.
Anyway...
All of this assumes UF wins its remaining two SEC game with Vandy and S.Carolina pushing both teams to at least 4 conference losses and out of the race.
UF will finish with a 5-3 record.
UGA stands at 4-2 currently with games against UK and Auburn.
UT stands at 3-2 currently with games against Arky, UK, and Vandy.
UK stands at 2-3 currently with games against Vandy, UGA, and UT.
In a two way tie between UF and UGA, UF loses out based on head-to-head.
In a two way tie with UF and either UK or UT, UF wins based on head-to-head.
In a three way (or more) tie here are the scenarios:
If UT and UGA both lose one more game (at this point assume UK drops one more to be out of the race w/ 4 losses - hang in there Joe, I'm getting to you guys), then there is a three way tie between UF, UT, and UGA at 5-3.1. (Once the tie has been reduced to two teams, go to the two-team tie-breaker format.)
2. Combined head-to-head record among the tied teams.
3. Record of the tied teams within the division.
4. Head-to-head competition vs. the team within the division with the best overall (divisional and non-divisional) Conference record and proceeding through the division. Multiple ties within the division will be broken from first to last.
5. Overall record vs. non-division teams.
6. Combined record vs. all common non-divisional teams.
7. Record vs. common non-divisional team with the best overall Conference (divisional and non-divisional) record and proceeding through other common non-divisional teams based on their order of finish within their division.
8. The tied team with the highest ranking in the Bowl Championship Series Standings following the last weekend of regular-season games shall be the divisional representative in the SEC Championship Game, unless the second of the tied teams is ranked within five-or-fewer places of the highest ranked tied team. In this case, the head-to-head results of the top two ranked tied teams shall determine the representative in the SEC Championship Game.
The combined head to head record between each of these teams is tied all the way around at 1-1. So move on to #3. UF's record in the division would be 5-1 (loss to UGA). UT's record would be 5-1 (loss to UF). UGA's record would be 4-2 (losses to UT and USC). This would eliminate UGA and leave us with UF and UT. UF wins in the head-to-head two team tiebreaker.
If UT and UGA both lose with UT's loss coming to UK (still assume UK loses another one - to Vandy for instance) the UF wins outright on the divisional record (5-1 to 4-2 to 4-2).
If UK wins out (assume UT and UGA both win their other games) then there is a four way tie: UF, UK, UGA, and UT at 5-3. In this scenario the head to head records are: UF 2-1, UK 2-1, UT 1-2, UGA 1-2. UT and UGA are eliminated and UF beats out UK in a two team head to head tiebreaker.
Essentially, UF owns all tie-breakers assuming we win out and UT and UGA both drop one.
For UK they have to win out and have UF drop one. UK would have the head to head over both UT and UGA in this scenario.